Players please close your eyes

Chapter 419 419. Can you count?

"I'm listening, please speak."

Xue Youda responded immediately.

"It's simple, can you count?"

Kiriyama asked.

"That, of course it will happen."

Xue Youda felt confused. Businessmen like them must have learned arithmetic. He didn't know what Wushan's purpose was in asking this.

"This game, after all, is about making money at the lowest cost. If you think about it, the first person to shoot has a one-sixth chance of being shot and losing five coins, but there is a five-sixth chance. There is a chance of getting a coin reward, so if the first person chooses to shoot, it can be considered that he does not get a chip.”

Kiriyama explained.

"If you don't get the chips, how can you talk about it? Ah, I understand."

Xue Youda originally wanted Wushan to see what he was saying, but soon he understood.

Although there is no professional mathematical expectation in Gucheng, there are similar calculations.

The first person who chooses to shoot gets one chip multiplied by five-sixths minus five chips multiplied by one-sixth, which is zero.

By analogy, if the person in second place chooses to shoot, the expected chips are one chip multiplied by four-fifths minus five chips, and the chip multiplied by one-fifth, resulting in a loss of one-fifth of a chip.

The expectation for the third pick is to lose one-half of a chip.

The expectation for the fourth pick is to lose one chip.

"Looking at it this way, no matter how you shoot, you will lose your chips!"

Xue Youda realized that unless he could be the first to shoot every time, the more he fired, the more chips he would lose.

"If you think about it again, what would happen if you choose to skip it?"

Kiriyama was not in a hurry, but glanced at the Black Ax Gang, as if to see if they, the underlings of the gang, had received compulsory education and could understand what he said.

“If you choose to skip it, you have to pay one chip, which is a net loss of one chip!”

Xue Youda's eyes suddenly lit up.

"Wait a minute, this means that as long as the top four picks choose to shoot, at most they will have the same ending as skipping, but the loss will be smaller than skipping."

As for the fifth and sixth picks, the benefits of shooting are obviously much smaller.

"You're smart, at least much smarter than some people who only know how to use an axe."

Wushan nodded.

The few members of the Black Ax Gang did not show displeasure or anger, but fell into deep thinking.

There's nothing wrong with Kiriyama's words. He seems to really want to teach everyone how to play this game.

"So, after six rounds in one round, everyone's loss expectation is 3.7 coins after skipping the last two picks. In the second round, because there is only one chance to skip the shot, Therefore, the loss expectation will become higher, reaching 5.7 coins. In the third round, there is no chance to skip shooting, and the risk will become extremely high. The loss expectation will reach 10.7 coins. In fact, in the third round, By then, someone should be eliminated.”

He continued to explain.

Hearing this, Xue Youda thought quietly for a while, and suddenly felt something was wrong.

But his eyes quickly flickered, he glanced at Wushan, then at the Black Ax Gang, and finally chose not to speak.

"Brother, what is the sure way to win?"

Xue Youda turned to ask again.

"I just told you."

Kiriyama smiled.

"Just choose to shoot before the first four picks, and then skip the fifth and sixth picks. This strategy can minimize your losses."

This is a very simple and easy-to-understand strategy.

Xue Youda nodded secretly.

Those members of the Black Ax Gang understood everything now.

"What's the use of all this?"

Li Ke sneered at this.

"What advantage do you gain by telling everyone these things?"

"I don't need to have an advantage."

Unexpectedly, Kiriyama answered immediately without thinking.

"I just gave the gun to everyone."

Hearing Wushan's words, Li Ke's expression became gloomy.

These Black Ax Gang people don't listen to themselves anymore, but they are all rich and have no education level. When faced with this kind of gambling that requires thinking, they are like headless flies. They only try their luck. In the first round If he hadn't taken them with him, they would have been thrown out to feed the unknown monster in the void just like the brothers who went to other groups before.

However, now, Kiriyama told them the strategy.

If these members of the Black Ax Gang want to win, they can just shoot according to this strategy. They don't need any guidance from their boss.

even.

If they are rebellious in their hearts, they may even join forces to kill themselves if they are unlucky.

After all, everyone wants to survive.

Just as Kiriyama said, he gave the gun to everyone.

When everyone has a gun, the authority of the Black Ax Gang loses its effect.

Li Ke quickly understood what Wushan meant. This guy was coming for him from the beginning.

However, Li Ke thought for a moment and discovered the loopholes in Wushan's strategy.

That's the problem with getting shot.

As long as someone is shot in the first four picks, the people behind him don't need to pay chips to skip.

Therefore, the next two picks still have an advantage.

And if you grab the first shot, you will become the sixth and fifth picks later, and you can actually make money.

Similarly, if you are shot, you will lose five chips directly. At that time, it will be impossible to gamble on that probability.

Therefore, in addition to what Kiriyama said, the best strategy is to grab the first one, then become the sixth pick, and then wait for the person in front to get shot to reduce your expenditure and save the chance to skip.

He immediately glanced at the three men around him and cleared his throat.

"Are you done? If you have nothing more to say, then we can start."

He glanced at the adjudicator.

"I'll be the first to start, okay?"

Li Ke looked at the others.

His younger brother naturally had no objection, but Xue Youda subconsciously glanced at Wushan and asked for his opinion.

"It doesn't matter to me. Anyway, I will definitely be the winner in the end."

Kiriyama didn’t seem to care who started.

The corners of Li Ke's mouth curled up, and he looked at the adjudicator.

Starting from Li Ke, there are two members of the Black Ax Gang, Xue Youda and Wushan, and the third member of the Black Ax Gang is the last one.

"let's start."

To ensure fairness, they let the adjudicator do the shooting.

The magazine rotated and finally stopped, and the hooded judge raised his gun towards Li Ke.

Then, pull the trigger.

Click——

Naturally, there is no bullet, just the crisp sound of the firing pin triggering.

Li Ke touched his pocket. He had another advantage that he didn't tell Wushan, and that was the chips he had.

Except for the one chip he paid to complete the game in the first round, he had no chips to spend. Not only that, Li Ke also took the chips of the Black Ax Gang member who was eliminated in the first round, plus the previously distributed [ Blood Chips], Li Ke has a total of twenty-nine chips.

I don't know how to lose at all.

"Next."

The judge said, looking at the second person.